Allan Lichtman Prediction For 2024 Keys. Instead, the lichtman “keys” isolate 13 factors that have each been found to be pretty good predictors even standing alone. Since 1984, american historian and professor allan lichtman has correctly predicted nine of the last 10 presidential races.

Immediately after the first 2024 presidential debate, between mr. Prognosticator nate silver is questioning whether historian allan lichtman’s keys to victory in the 2024 presidential election really do favor vice president kamala harris.